Putting together rankings for Week 1 of the Fantasy Football season always requires some amount of assuming, but it feels like nearly the whole wide receiver position requires you to go out on a limb this season. Between high-end options switching teams this offseason — Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, A.J. Brown, Marquise Brown, Amari Cooper, among others — and high-end options playing with new quarterbacks — D.J. Moore, Michael Pittman, Diontae Johnson, DK Metcalf, Courtland Sutton/Jerry Jeudy, again, among others — there are just a ton of question marks about the position.
There’s still a ton of talent at wide receiver, but the range of expectations for many of the higher-end options is just a lot wider than we’re used to seeing. Adams, for instance, is dealing with a QB downgrade from Aaron Rodgers to Derek Carr. However, the Raiders offense should also pass more than the Packers did last season, and Adams has that whole college teammate connection with Carr, so it could be a smoother transition than you think. Or, he could be totally held back by a QB who has never been nearly as comfortable taking high-risk, high-reward chances as Rodgers.
And then you’ve got Hill, who is dealing with an even more stark contrast, moving on from the massive-armed Patrick Mahomes to the … uh, slightly-less-massive-armed Tua Tagovailoa. Hill is also in an offense coached by first-timer Mike McDaniels, and while I’m optimistic about what that combination could mean — McDaniels comes from the Kyle Shanahan school of coaching — it’s certainly a pretty massive unknown for a guy who has been one of the most reliable big-play receivers we’ve ever seen.
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Week 1 will provide us some answers to those and more questions, and it’s possible I’m going back into my projections spreadsheet for Week 2 with some wildly different assumptions than the ones I have now. For now, this is the best I can do, given the situations we’re dealing with.
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- Cooper Kupp vs. BUF
- Justin Jefferson vs. GB
- Davante Adams @LAC
- Ja’Marr Chase vs. PIT
- Stefon Diggs @LAR
- CeeDee Lamb vs. TB
- Tyreek Hill vs. NE
- Mike Evans @DAL
- Keenan Allen vs. LV
- D.J. Moore vs. CLE
- Tee Higgins vs. PIT
- Deebo Samuel @CHI
- Michael Pittman Jr. @HOU
- Brandin Cooks vs. IND
- Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. PHI
- A.J. Brown @DET
- Marquise Brown vs. KC
- Diontae Johnson @CIN
- Mike Williams vs. LV
- Darnell Mooney vs. SF
- Elijah Moore vs. BAL
- Michael Thomas @ATL
- JuJu Smith-Schuster @ARI
- Adam Thielen vs. GB
- Allen Robinson vs. BUF
- Jaylen Waddle vs. NE
- Robert Woods vs. NYG
- DK Metcalf vs. DEN
- Terry McLaurin vs. JAX
- Hunter Renfrow @LAC
- Jerry Jeudy @SEA
- Julio Jones @DAL
- Courtland Sutton @SEA
- Kadarius Toney @TEN
- Drake London vs. NO
- Gabe Davis @LAR
- Amari Cooper @CAR
- Christian Kirk @WAS
- Tyler Lockett vs. DEN
- Allen Lazard @MIN
- Rashod Bateman @NYJ
- Isaiah McKenzie @LAR
- Russell Gage @DAL
- DeVante Parker @MIA
- Tyler Boyd vs. PIT
- DeVonta Smith @DET
- Corey Davis vs. BAL
- Chris Olave @ATL
- Chase Claypool @CIN
- Brandon Aiyuk @CHI
- Robby Anderson vs. CLE
- Jarvis Landry @ATL
- George Pickens @CIN
- Sammy Watkins @MIN
- Nico Collins vs. IND
- Rondale Moore vs. KC
- Mecole Hardman @ARI
- Curtis Samuel vs. JAX
- DJ Chark vs. PHI
- Treylon Burks vs. NYG