Monday, September 26, 2022

Fantasy Football Rankings 2022: Busts by advanced model that called Julio Jones’ disappointing year

Denver was without 10 of its 11 projected offensive starters for its preseason finale, with wide receiver KJ Hamler being the lone starter to play. He tore his ACL and injured his hip in the third week of the 2021 campaign and did not play in the team’s first two preseason games. The Broncos lost wide receiver Tim Patrick to a torn ACL, giving Hamler an opportunity to be one of the 2022 Fantasy football sleepers. The acquisition of quarterback Russell Wilson created an immediate boost to the 2022 Fantasy football projections for Denver’s wide receivers, including Hamler, Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. Are any of them overvalued in the 2022 Fantasy football rankings and in danger of becoming 2022 Fantasy football busts? As you begin your 2022 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, SportsLine’s model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was being dramatically overvalued. He was being drafted around in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn’t even close to being one of the top 20 wide receivers. Jones wound up turning in an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and one touchdown. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as Fantasy football bust last season. It also nailed Jonathan Taylor’s big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outperform his Fantasy football ADP. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2022 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2022 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott. The longtime feature back figures to be a focal point of the Cowboys’ offense once again after a gutsy 2021, when he finished with just over 1,000 yards and 1- touchdowns. The performance was impressive considering he was playing most of the season with a torn knee ligament.

However, running backs often have a sell-by date and the drop-off can be abrupt. The team continues to express confidence in Elliott as one of the league’s premier rushers, but with Tony Pollard continuing to impress in limited opportunities, a timeshare could be in place sooner than later. The model projects that Elliott will fall off this season, and others with lower 2022 Fantasy football ADP like Travis Etienne, Dameon Pierce, and Chase Edmonds all offer better value.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2022 have identified: Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey. He continues to be one of the most sought-after players in Fantasy leagues, but he is also the biggest gamble at the top of drafts. McCaffrey has burned his owners the last two seasons due to injuries, and SportsLine’s model is concerned about that being a significant possibility again this year.

He has only played in 10 total games over the last two seasons, with none of those games coming during the Fantasy playoffs. McCaffrey could easily lead the NFL in Fantasy production this year, but the model believes he is too risky to select at his current 2022 Fantasy football ADP. Najee Harris, Joe Mixon and Dalvin Cook are all safer options available later in the first round, and they are each projected to have better Fantasy seasons than McCaffrey. See which other Fantasy football busts 2022 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2022 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely low on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average of 2022 Fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects him to see major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2022 Fantasy Football breakouts should you be targeting? And which RB will fail to live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.

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