Friday, December 9, 2022

Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 1, 2022: Fade the Bengals

The 2022 NFL season is upon us, which means Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks are starting to be entered. There are numerous juicy NFL matchups as part of the Week 1 NFL schedule, including Packers vs. Vikings (+2), Chiefs vs. Cardinals (+4.5) and Raiders vs. Chargers (-3.5). Making Week 1 NFL knockout pool picks is just as nerve-racking as it is exhilarating. Several franchises have historically struggled early in the season, while others play well before falling off later on. Knowing the trends can be a substitute when you’re unsure which NFL picks to make. Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 138-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 15 last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions 

For Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Cincinnati Bengals, even though they are the reigning AFC champions and favored at home over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Cincinnati swept the season series between these teams last year, but that was with Ben Roethlisberger under center for Pittsburgh. Mitchell Trubisky brings a different dynamic to the offense, and while no one knows if he’ll be an upgrade over a 39-year-old Big Ben, that uncertainty is why you should avoid this game.

Additionally, Cincinnati’s one weakness on offense could be exposed by the Steelers defense. Joe Burrow was sacked an NFL-high 51 times in 2021, while T.J. Watt led the league in QB takedowns with 22.5. As a team, Pittsburgh led the NFL in sacks (55) and its pass rush can wreck an offensive game plan. The model sees this as a tricky game and no clear-cut victory for the Bengals, so it advises to steer clear of this matchup. See which team to pick here.

How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks 

Instead, the model is backing a team that made a quarterback change in the offseason and has had plenty of success against its Week 1 opponent. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.

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