Monday, September 26, 2022

Tennessee vs. Ball State odds, spread: 2022 college football picks, Week 1 predictions by model on 45-32 run

The 2022 college football season kicks off for the Ball State Cardinals and the Tennessee Volunteers on Thursday night. Ball State finished its 2021 campaign with a 6-7 record, including a 51-20 loss to Georgia State in the Camellia Bowl. On the other side, Tennessee logged a 7-6 record. The Volunteers fell 48-45 in overtime to Purdue in the Music City Bowl.

Kickoff from the Neyland Stadium is set for 7 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Volunteers as 35-point favorites in the latest Tennessee vs. Ball State odds, while the over/under for total points is 68. Before making any Ball State vs. Tennessee picks or Week 1 college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 1 of the 2022 college football season on a 45-32 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tennessee vs. Ball State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Ball State vs. Tennessee:

  • Tennessee vs. Ball State spread: Volunteers -35
  • Tennessee vs. Ball State over/under: 68 points
  • BSU: The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on grass
  • TENN: The Over is 6-0 in the Volunteers’ last six games overall
  • Tennessee vs. Ball State money line: See picks at SportsLine

Why Tennessee can cover

The Volunteers owned a dynamic and explosive offense during the 2021 season, the first year for head coach Josh Heupel in Knoxville. They were able to effectively run and pass the ball, with the stats to back that up. Tennessee was ranked third in the SEC in total offense (474.9), fourth in passing yards (257.1) and second in rushing yards (217.8). Senior quarterback Hendon Hooker is a superb playmaker.

Hooker has a strong arm while owning the athleticism to make plays with his legs. The North Carolina native completed 68% of his throws for 2,945 with 31 passing touchdowns and just three interceptions. He also ran for 620 yards with five scores. Hooker tossed three-plus touchdowns in six games during the 2021 campaign as well. 

Why Ball State can cover

The Cardinals will be looking to implement their rushing attack early and often in this matchup. They averaged 130.7 rushing yards per game last season and this ground attack is led by sophomore running back Carson Steele. Steele jumped on the scene as a freshman and made a statement. The Indiana native was one of seven true freshmen to notch more than 1,000 scrimmage yards.

Steele led the team with 192 carries for 891 yards and six scores. He also reeled in 12 passes for 157 yards and 13.1 yards per reception. Steele had three outings with 100-plus yards on the ground. His best performance of his young career came against Akron, where he logged 27 carries for 154 yards. 

How to make Ball State vs. Tennessee picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 62 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Tennessee vs. Ball State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out. 

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