Friday, October 7, 2022

Oklahoma State vs. Central Michigan odds, prediction: 2022 Week 1 college football picks by proven model

Thursday evening brings the start of a jam-packed weekend in college football, with an intriguing matchup taking place in Stillwater. The No. 12 Oklahoma State Cowboys host the Central Michigan Chippewas in a non-conference tilt. It is the season opener for both teams, with Boone Pickens Stadium showcasing the contest. Central Michigan was 9-4 in 2021, with Oklahoma State posting a 12-2 record that included a perfect home mark.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Cowboys as 21.5-point home favorites in Stillwater for this 7 p.m. ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 57.5 in the latest Central Michigan vs. Oklahoma State odds. Before locking in any Central Michigan vs. Oklahoma State picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 1 of the 2022 college football season on a 45-32 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Central Michigan vs. Oklahoma State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Oklahoma State vs. Central Michigan:

  • Oklahoma State vs. Central Michigan spread: OK State -21.5 
  • Oklahoma State vs. Central Michigan over/under: 57.5 points 
  • Oklahoma State vs. Central Michigan money line: OK State -2000, CMU +1050 
  • CMU: The Chippewas won more games in 2022 than in any season since 2009 
  • OSU: The Cowboys have won 12 straight against non-Power 5 opponents 
  • Oklahoma State vs. Central Michigan picks: See picks here.

Featured Game | Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

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Why Central Michigan can cover

The Chippewas are coming off an impressive 2021 season with nine wins and a victory over Washington State in a bowl setting. Central Michigan is on an active five-game winning streak, the third-longest stretch in FBS, and the Chippewas are 20-13 since Jim McElwain took over, the best record in the MAC. That includes tremendous against-the-spread success at 21-11-1 since 2019, and the offense returns a great deal from last season. 

Central Michigan ranked in the top 25 of the country in total offense in 2021, including the second-best passing offense in the MAC. Daniel Richardson returns as the starter at quarterback after a 24-touchdown season with more than 2,600 passing yards, and he protected the ball with only six interceptions. From there, Central Michigan has one of the best running backs in the country in Lew Nichols III, who led FBS with 1,848 rushing yards last season with 10 touchdowns and at least 100 rushing yards in each of Central Michigan’s last eight games.

Why Oklahoma State can cover

Central Michigan’s offense was highly prolific last season, and the Chippewas also have a havoc-creating defense. Jim McElwain’s team led the country in tackles for loss last season, ranking No. 4 in the nation in sacks. Central Michigan should also benefit from major losses on the Oklahoma State side, including a 1,200-yard rusher in Jaylen Warren and the Big 12’s leading receiver in Tay Martin. 

On offense, Central Michigan is facing an Oklahoma State defense that lost four of its top five defensive backs and its defensive coordinator. The Chippewas ranked in the top 25 of the nation in total offense a year ago, headlined by Lew Nichols. Nichols led FBS in rushing yards with more than 1,800 a year ago, and he also ranked in the top ten nationally with 16 touchdowns. Over the last eight games, Nichols averaged 180 rushing yards per game and caught 25 passes, and he is flanked by a capable and efficient quarterback in Daniel Richardson.

How to make Central Michigan vs. Oklahoma State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, with the teams projected to score a combined 51 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s CFB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Central Michigan vs. Oklahoma State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Central Michigan vs. Oklahoma State spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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