Thursday, October 6, 2022

Fantasy Football Rankings 2022: Busts from NFL model that called Julio Jones’ disappointing year

Ezekiel Elliott appeared to be on his way to a bounce-back season last year when he averaged 99 total yards per game through Week 4. Then, he suffered a knee injury and continued playing through pain, but put up just 69 yards per game over the rest of the season. The dramatic decrease in production has many putting Elliott on their 2022 Fantasy football busts list, but can the veteran also loom as one of the potential 2022 Fantasy football sleepers?

There is often a thin line between those two categories and opinions vary across the board. Tony Pollard’s emergence and the Cowboys turning more of the offense over to quarterback Dak Prescott stand as potential roadblocks to Elliott being one of the top 2022 Fantasy football picks. His production when healthy last year showed why some are still grabbing him early in their 2022 Fantasy football draft strategy. As you begin your 2022 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, SportsLine’s model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was being dramatically overvalued. He was being drafted around in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn’t even close to being one of the top 20 wide receivers. Jones wound up turning in an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and one touchdown. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as Fantasy football bust last season. It also nailed Jonathan Taylor’s big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outperform his Fantasy football ADP. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2022 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2022 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Commanders running back Antonio Gibson. He is coming off a productive sophomore year in which he totaled 1,331 yards and scored 10 touchdowns. Washington then drafted Brian Robinson in the third round, and he started the team’s second preseason game while Gibson curiously served as the Commanders’ kick returner.

This could be a motivational ploy to hopefully inspire Gibson or he could lose his starting job to the rookie. Add in that J.D. McKissic owns passing downs in Washington and Gibson won’t see nearly the 19 touches per game he saw last year. After finishing as a top-15 back in Fantasy points the last two years, SportsLine’s model has Gibson outside the top 30 in its Fantasy football rankings 2022. It likes Kareem Hunt and Melvin Gordon more than Gibson, despite those two veterans being drafted multiple rounds later on average.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2022 have identified: Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott. The three-time Pro Bowler has averaged 323 touches per season over his six-year NFL career and he also handled the rock 617 times during his final two years at Ohio State.

Elliott has averaged 4.1 yards per carry and 6.3 yards per reception over the last two seasons after averaging 4.6 and 8.6 during his first four seasons in the league. To make matters worse, Tony Pollard averaged 5.5 yards per carry and 8.6 yards per reception playing in the same offense in a change-of-pace role, and the model is concerned that Pollard could overtake Elliott as the No. 1 back in 2022. That’s why it ranks Elliott outside its top 20 RBs despite the fact that he’s being drafted in the third round on average. See which other Fantasy football busts 2022 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2022 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely low on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average of 2022 Fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects him to see major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2022 Fantasy Football breakouts should you be targeting? And which RB will fail to live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.

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