Thursday, August 18, 2022

Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Sunday, July 31 best bets from proven model

The Detroit Tigers take on the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday afternoon as the AL foes face off in the finale of a four-game set at Rogers Centre. Sunday’s game is also the final meeting between the Tigers and Blue Jays during the 2022 season. Jose Berrios (7-4, 5.20) is scheduled to pitch for Toronto, with Detroit deploying Garrett Hill (1-2, 5.57) to begin the matchup.

First pitch is at 12:05 p.m. ET in Toronto. Caesars Sportsbook lists Toronto as a -292 favorite on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is nine in the latest Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds. Before you make any Blue Jays vs. Tigers picks and MLB predictions, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 284-243 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tigers vs. Blue Jays and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Blue Jays vs. Tigers:

  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays money line: Blue Jays -292, Tigers +235
  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays over-under: nine runs
  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays run line: Blue Jays -1.5 (-140)
  • DET: The Tigers are 16-34 in road games
  • TOR: The Blue Jays are 33-21 in home games
  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers

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Why you should back the Tigers

Detroit’s offense has struggled this season, but the Tigers can find value elsewhere in this matchup. Detroit’s team speed is strong, illustrated by a top-five mark in the American League in stolen bases. In addition, this could be a strong matchup for Detroit’s lineup against a starting pitcher that has struggled in recent days. Berrios enters with a 1.37 WHIP and a 5.20 ERA this season, while opponents have an .808 OPS against him. Over his last seven starts, Berrios has a 6.31 ERA, and Detroit can capitalize on those issues. 

Detroit’s bullpen is also top-notch, ranking in the top three of the AL in wins above replacement from relief pitchers. The Tigers are also in the top four of the AL in bullpen ERA, and the team’s relief corps has a combined ground ball rate of 45 percent.

Why you should back the Blue Jays

Toronto has a notable advantage on the run production side in this matchup. The Blue Jays have operated as the best offensive team in the AL since the All-Star break, bludgeoning opponents with regularity, and Toronto leads the league in batting average, on-base percentage and total bases in 2022. The Blue Jays also rank in the top three of the AL in runs scored, home runs, slugging percentage, and OPS, with six players generating double-digit home runs and eight regulars producing an OPS over .700 this season. Toronto is also in the top five of the AL in strikeout avoidance, and Detroit’s lineup is pedestrian at best. 

The Tigers are dead-last in the American League in runs scored, home runs, and slugging percentage in 2022, with Detroit producing very little power overall. The Tigers are also in the bottom three of the league in hits, batting average, on-base percentage, OPS, and total bases this season, and Toronto starting pitcher Berrios is a two-time All-Star with a 3.47 ERA at home.

How to make Tigers vs. Blue Jays picks

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