Thursday, August 18, 2022

Mets vs. Marlins odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Friday, July 29 best bets from proven model

NL East rivals clash on Friday night when the New York Mets (61-37) and the Miami Marlins (47-52) square off. The Mets head into this contest on a three-game winning streak. Meanwhile, Miami just split its previous four-game series against the Cincinnati Reds. Sandy Alcantara (9-4, 1.81 ERA) is on the mound for Miami. Chris Bassitt (7-7, 3.72 ERA) will be starting for New York.

The first pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. New York is the -120 money-line favorite (risk $120 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Marlins odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Miami is the +100 underdog. The over-under for total runs scored is 6.5. Before making any Marlins vs. Mets picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 284-243 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Marlins and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Marlins vs. Mets:

  • Mets vs. Marlins money line: New York -120, Miami +100
  • Mets vs. Marlins run line: New York -1.5 (+150)
  • Mets vs. Marlins over-under: 6.5 runs
  • NYM: Mets are 5-1 in their last six games following a win
  • MIA: Under is 5-1 in Marlins’ last six games following a win
  • Mets vs. Marlins picks: See picks at SportsLine 

Featured Game | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

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Why you should back the Mets

Right fielder Starling Marte has been playing outstanding baseball. Marte owns a compact swing that sprays all across the field. The two-time All-Star possesses great athleticism with some nice pop. During the month of July, Marte is batting .382 with three home runs and seven RBIs. He’s logged two-plus hits in three straight games.

First baseman Pete Alonso is having an MVP-caliber year thus far for New York. Alonso has an explosive bat with light-tower power. The two-time All-Star has been able to consistently produce runs. Alonso is fifth in the league in home runs (26) and first in RBIs (84). He smashed a solo homer in his last outing. 

Why you should back the Marlins 

Alcantara is good enough to keep Miami in any game. First baseman Jesus Aguilar, meanwhile, is a smooth offensive option for the Marlins. Aguilar makes solid contact and excels in run production. The 32-year-old has displayed his patience at the dish with his sure hands. Aguilar’s batting average is .251 with 12 home runs and 43 RBIs. On July 28, he went 3-for-4 with a home run and four total runs were driven in.

Infielder Miguel Rojas is a great defender with soft hands and solid range. Rojas owns the arm strength to deliver darts across the diamond with good velocity. Additionally, the 33-year-old has sound pitch recognition skills with a line-drive swing. Rojas is hitting .242 with six dingers and 24 RBIs. 

How to make Marlins vs. Mets picks

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