The Dallas Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns in a crucial Game 3 battle in the Western Conference semifinals on Friday night. The Suns defeated the Mavericks 129-109 in their last matchup to jump out to a 2-0 lead in this 2022 NBA playoff series. The Mavs, however, haven’t lost three straight since December and they should be plenty motivated to get back in the series on their home floor.
Tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center. Caesars Sportsbook lists Dallas as the one-point favorite in the latest Suns vs. Mavericks odds. The over-under for total points is 218, down 1.5 points from the opening line. Before locking in any Mavericks vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Mavs, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Suns:
- Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Dallas -1
- Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 218 points
- Suns vs. Mavericks money line: Phoenix +100, Dallas -120
- PHO: Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall
- DAL: Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record
Featured Game | Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns
Why the Suns can cover
Guard Chris Paul continues to show his veteran presence in this series. Paul is an elite playmaker who is extremely selfless on the floor. The 12-time All-Star is fearless in driving down the lane to either find a teammate or create his own shot. Paul can pile up steals and is a problem in transition. In Game 2, Paul finished with 28 points, six rebounds and eight assists, including a whopping 14 points in the fourth quarter.
Forward Cameron Johnson is an athletic wing who has a long frame. Johnson is also a solid shooter on the perimeter with the ability to finish at the rim with force. The North Carolina product also has the strength and length to bully smaller defenders and shoot right over them. Johnson is putting up 11.5 points, 3.6 rebounds and is shooting 37 percent from downtown. In Game 1, he had 17 points, five rebounds and shot 3-for-6 from three.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Guard Luka Doncic knows how to dominate the game in a multitude of ways. Doncic plays at a calming pace that allows him to orchestrate the offense with precision. The three-time All-Star consistently pulls down boards with the ability to torch any defender. He is leading the team in points (33.4), rebounds (9.8) and assists (6.4). In the Game 3 loss, Doncic recorded 35 points, five rebounds and seven assists.
Guard Jalen Brunson is another ball-handler in the backcourt who can creates his own shot. Brunson is super quick and agile with the moves to get past the defender and find his spots on the floor. The Villanova product can finish strong in the paint with a solid mid-range jumper. Brunson is logging 23.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game during the NBA playoffs 2022.
How to make Suns vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 216 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Suns vs. Mavericks picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.