Sunday, May 22, 2022

Kentucky Derby 2022 predictions, bets: Expert picks released for win, place, show, trifecta, superfecta

After training two Triple Crown winners in a four-year span, Bob Baffert won’t be in attendance at the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Medina Spirit eventually tested positive for a banned substance last year and was disqualified, which led to Baffert being suspended in Kentucky and New York. However, Baffert’s fingerprints will still be on the 148th Run for the Roses, as long-time assistant Tim Yakteen has taken over training Messier and Taiba. Both 2022 Kentucky Derby horses have impressive graded-stakes wins on their resumes and are among the favorites, with Messier listed at 8-1, while Taiba is 12-1 in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds. With so much to consider while making your 2022 Kentucky Derby picks, a little expert help can go a long way.

The 2022 Kentucky Derby will mark the 148th Run for the Roses and, during all that time, not a single horse has won breaking from the No. 17 post. In fact, even with less traffic to navigate, the wider trip around has been a poor omen in general. Only four horses have ever won while breaking from the No. 17 post or wider. Classic Causeway (30-1) will try to become the first horse to win from the No. 17 post, while Tawny Port (30-1), Zozos (20-1) and Ethereal Road (30-1) will start 18-19-20, respectively. The Kentucky Derby post positions that have produced the most winners in history have been No. 5 (10), No. 10 (nine) and Nos. 1, 7 and 8 (eight).

Given all the history, there’s a method to picking which horses to focus on for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets in a Kentucky Derby like this, and SportsLine expert Jody Demling knows what it is. He can help you make the best 2022 Kentucky Derby picks possible.

A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling has been on-point with his horse racing bets. He hit the exacta in the Wood Memorial in April. Last year, he hit the exacta, trifecta and superfecta in the Belmont Stakes. This is the same handicapper who hit the Derby-Oaks double at Churchill Downs nine times in the last 13 years. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby all but four times in his last 13 tries.

In addition, at one point in 2020, he picked the winners of six straight races: the Saudi Cup, Gotham Stakes, Rebel Stakes, Louisiana Derby, Florida Derby and Belmont Stakes. Anyone who has followed him on these races is way up. Now, he’s sharing all of his 2022 Kentucky Derby bets here.

Top 2022 Kentucky Derby expert picks

Here’s a refresher on these types of bets from SportsLine’s Jody Demling:

Kentucky Derby Exacta: Pick the first- and second-place finishers in the correct order. A $2 exacta returned $503 at the 2021 Kentucky Derby with Medina Spirit and Mandaloun.

Kentucky Derby Trifecta: Pick the first-, second- and third-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 trifecta returned $1,696.90 at the 2021 Kentucky Derby with Medina Spirit, Mandaloun, and Hot Rod Charlie.

Kentucky Derby Superfecta: Pick the first-, second-, third- and fourth-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 superfecta returned a colossal $9,456.40 at the 2021 Kentucky Derby with Medina Spirit, Mandaloun, Hot Rod Charlie, and Essential Quality.

While Demling has no quibbles with the favorite status of Zandon (3-1), he plans to hold tickets with Messier (8-1), Epicenter (7-2), as well as four double-digit underdogs who could really spice up the payouts. You can see his picks here.

How to make 2022 Kentucky Derby bets

Demling has specific recommendations for exacta, trifecta and superfecta wagers so you can cover all your bases at the Kentucky Derby 2022. He’s sharing them over at SportsLine.

So which horses do you take? And in what combinations? Visit SportsLine to get Demling’s picks for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.

2022 Kentucky Derby odds, field, contenders

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